Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 3.102574e-05 0.000037 0.000043 0.000051 0.000059 0.000068 0.000078
2025-03-16 2.324019e-05 0.000031 0.000039 0.000049 0.000061 0.000075 0.000092
2025-03-23 1.838044e-05 0.000026 0.000036 0.000048 0.000064 0.000082 0.000104
2025-03-30 1.462239e-05 0.000023 0.000033 0.000047 0.000065 0.000087 0.000115
2025-04-06 1.145459e-05 0.000019 0.000030 0.000045 0.000065 0.000090 0.000122
2025-04-13 8.549953e-06 0.000016 0.000026 0.000042 0.000063 0.000090 0.000126
2025-04-20 6.758367e-06 0.000014 0.000024 0.000040 0.000063 0.000092 0.000133
2025-04-27 5.622579e-06 0.000012 0.000023 0.000040 0.000064 0.000097 0.000142
2025-05-04 4.865997e-06 0.000012 0.000023 0.000040 0.000067 0.000103 0.000153
2025-05-11 4.654933e-06 0.000012 0.000024 0.000043 0.000073 0.000113 0.000170
2025-05-18 4.135680e-06 0.000011 0.000023 0.000044 0.000076 0.000120 0.000183
2025-05-25 3.152611e-06 0.000009 0.000021 0.000042 0.000074 0.000119 0.000186
2025-06-01 2.262757e-06 0.000008 0.000019 0.000040 0.000073 0.000122 0.000195
2025-06-08 1.634817e-06 0.000007 0.000018 0.000039 0.000074 0.000126 0.000205
2025-06-15 1.203562e-06 0.000006 0.000016 0.000038 0.000075 0.000131 0.000217
2025-06-22 8.453213e-07 0.000005 0.000015 0.000037 0.000075 0.000135 0.000227
2025-06-29 5.456717e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000035 0.000075 0.000137 0.000235
2025-07-06 2.965412e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000032 0.000072 0.000135 0.000237
2025-07-13 1.738816e-07 0.000002 0.000011 0.000031 0.000071 0.000137 0.000244
2025-07-20 1.108447e-07 0.000002 0.000010 0.000031 0.000072 0.000142 0.000256
2025-07-27 7.588814e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000031 0.000075 0.000149 0.000272
2025-08-03 6.912557e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000034 0.000081 0.000162 0.000296
2025-08-10 4.866527e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000034 0.000084 0.000170 0.000314